Conf = UMLC D2 East
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.7802200 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 309 A Central Conn. State CLC D2 ( 5- 6, 83.7) 15- 3 310 A Rhode Island CLC D2 (15- 2, 96.3) 9-15 311 A Bridgewater State CLC D2 ( 4-10, 85.7) 13- 9 319 A Butler UMLC ( 0- 1, 94.8) 16- 2 319 H University of Louisvil 21-19 324 H Dayton UMLC D2 East (13- 5, 97.1) 9- 7 326 H North Dakota State UMLC D2 East ( 5- 9, 93.6) 17- 7 331 H Missouri State LSA D2 North (10- 3, 95.9) 5- 6 402 H St. Thomas UMLC D2 West (14- 3, 99.9) 11- 7 416 H Illinois UMLC D1 East ( 6- 9, 88.4) 27-11 422 A Western Michigan CLC D1 West ( 3-10, 88.4) 13- 5 429 H Dayton UMLC D2 East (13- 5, 97.1) 8- 9 508 A Florida Gulf Coast SELC D2 Coast (10- 2, 96.3) 11- 7 509 A Cal State San Marcos SLC D2 South (17- 2, 99.0) 11-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 309 A Central Conn. State 15- 3 12 12 0.00 310 A Rhode Island 9-15 -6 0 -- -5.77 311 A Bridgewater State 13- 9 4 10 - -3.00 319 A Butler 16- 2 14 1 n/a 324 H Dayton 9- 7 2 0 1.60 326 H North Dakota State 17- 7 10 3 + 3.08 331 H Missouri State 5- 6 -1 1 - -2.62 402 H St. Thomas 11- 7 4 -2 +++ 6.38 416 H Illinois 27-11 16 9 n/a 422 A Western Michigan 13- 5 8 7 n/a 429 H Dayton 8- 9 -1 0 -1.40 508 A Florida Gulf Coast 11- 7 4 0 ++ 4.28 509 A Cal State San Marcos 11-13 -2 -2 0.91UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 319 A Butler 16- 2 416 H Illinois 27-11 422 A Western Michigan 13- 5 310 A Rhode Island 9-15 -6 0 -- -5.77 319 A Butler 16- 2 416 H Illinois 27-11 422 A Western Michigan 13- 5 311 A Bridgewater State 13- 9 4 10 - -3.00 319 A Butler 16- 2 331 H Missouri State 5- 6 -1 1 - -2.62 416 H Illinois 27-11 422 A Western Michigan 13- 5OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 319 A Butler 16- 2 402 H St. Thomas 11- 7 4 -2 +++ 6.38 416 H Illinois 27-11 422 A Western Michigan 13- 5 319 A Butler 16- 2 416 H Illinois 27-11 422 A Western Michigan 13- 5 508 A Florida Gulf Coast 11- 7 4 0 ++ 4.28 319 A Butler 16- 2 326 H North Dakota State 17- 7 10 3 + 3.08 416 H Illinois 27-11 422 A Western Michigan 13- 5
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 96.78 Power Rank................. 7 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 84.90 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 6 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5965 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 9 RPI Rating............... .6336 RPI Rank................... 6 Champ. Probability ...... 9.5 Championship Rank ......... 3 Selection sum ........... 25 Selection Rank ............ 8 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 45. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 11 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 40. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 10 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 13.3 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 8.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 4.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.3